Event · resolves around 2026-12-31
Putin — election · Dec 2026
2 related contracts across Polymarket and Manifold · $21.6K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 7% | 0.0 pts | 68 | Developing |
| Will the next minister-president of Saxony-Anhalt be from AfD? | Manifold | 51% | +0.8 pts | 38 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.