Event · resolves around 2026-12-31
Democrats — election · Dec 2026
4 related contracts across Polymarket and Manifold · $302.3K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 2% | -0.3 pts | 91 | Developing |
| Split Senate and House in the 2026 Midterms? | ManifoldPlay money | 29% | 0.0 pts | 42 | Developing |
| Democrats win Iowa, Michigan, Maine and Wisconsin Governor elections in 2026? | ManifoldPlay money | 78% | +4.3 pts | 38 | Developing |
| Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Kalshi) | ManifoldPlay money | 69% | +2.9 pts | 39 | Developing |
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