Event · resolves around 2026-11-04
Hormuz — election · Nov 2026
2 related contracts across Polymarket · $60.8K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | Polymarket | 61% | +0.1 pts | 56 | Developing |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | Polymarket | 34% | 0.0 pts | 57 | Developing |
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