Event · resolves around 2026-11-04
James Talarico — election · Nov 2026
3 related contracts across Manifold. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will James Talarico win Tarrant County by 7.000% or more in the 2026 Texas Senate election? | Manifold | 61% | 0.0 pts | 40 | Developing |
| Will Troy Jackson get 50% or more in the first round of the Maine senate election? | Manifold | 55% | 0.0 pts | 38 | Developing |
| Will Jon Ossoff and/or Roy Cooper win their senate race by 10.000% or more? | Manifold | 44% | 0.0 pts | 17 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.