Event · resolves around 2026-11-02
Republicans — election · Nov 2026
2 related contracts across Polymarket · $64.3K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? | Polymarket | 26% | -0.6 pts | 53 | Developing |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | Polymarket | 52% | +0.2 pts | 55 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.