Event · resolves around 2026-10-23
Hormuz — election · Oct 2026
2 related contracts across Polymarket · $68.4K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | Polymarket | 63% | +0.7 pts | 51 | Developing |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | Polymarket | 32% | -0.6 pts | 53 | Developing |
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