ProbCast
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?67%▲65.9US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?100%▲1.1Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?95%▲92.1Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?14%▼13.0Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?11%▲6.9Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?35%▼12.0No one announced as next James Bond?94%▼4.4Canada leading at halftime?39%▼1.5Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?1%▼1.9Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?13%▼1.0Iran leadership change by June 30?0%▲0.2Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?0%▲0.0Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?0%▲0.1Trump out as President by June 30?0%▼0.1Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?0%▲0.0Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?0%▲0.0Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?67%▲65.9US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?100%▲1.1Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?95%▲92.1Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?14%▼13.0Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?11%▲6.9Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?35%▼12.0No one announced as next James Bond?94%▼4.4Canada leading at halftime?39%▼1.5Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?1%▼1.9Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?13%▼1.0Iran leadership change by June 30?0%▲0.2Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?0%▲0.0Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?0%▲0.1Trump out as President by June 30?0%▼0.1Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?0%▲0.0Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?0%▲0.0

Loading dashboard…