Event · resolves around 2027-04-30
Blue Origin's New — event · Apr 2027
2 related contracts across Kalshi and Manifold · $98.4 traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Apr 2027? | Kalshi | 68% | +0.5 pts | 42 | Developing |
| Will Anthropic announce a new operating system for most of its AI agent workloads by April 30, 2027? | ManifoldPlay money | 23% | -10.1 pts | 6 | Likely noise |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.