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Event · resolves around 2026-06-30
2 related contracts across Polymarket · $825.3K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | Polymarket | 100% | +33.5 pts | 31 | Likely noise |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026? | Polymarket | 96% | +0.4 pts | 72 | Worth watching |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.